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Thursday, May 23, 2013

5 Reasons Bayern Munich will win the Champions League; Prediction

Speed on the wings.
It's no secret the Bavarians can burn teams on the wings. With world class players like Franck Ribery and Arjen Robben, it's hard to find a team they can't over power near the touchline. I just don't see how the likes of Reus and Blasykowski can keep up. Sure, they are good players, but they don't have the experience these two do. Ribery has supplied 4 assists in the Champions League and I believe he will play a huge role in any goals Bayern will get. Robben will a great scoring threat and will once again show why he is such a great compliment to the great Thomas Muller.

They are the in-form team.
Though Dortmund have the in-form man, this whole team has struck great vain of form. You have to go all the way back to March 13 for their most recent loss which was against Arsenal in the Champions League. They have only lost one Bundesliga match all season and they haven't lost to Dortmund yet this year. Also, you have to take their 7-0 thrashing of Barcelona into effect. Even though Messi wasn't close to healthy, Barcelona doesn't lose like that. It takes a very special team to score seven goals over two matches in the Champions League and Bayern did it with ease.

They have had a tougher schedule.
Let's do some simple math. How many 2013 League Champions did Bayern defeat? The answer is three (BATE Borisov, Juventus, Barcelona). How many did Dortmund defeat? Two (Ajax, Shakhtar Donetsk). How many Champions Leaguge titles have BATE Borisov, Juventus, and Barcelona won? Six. And Ajax and Donetsk? Four. I rest my case.

Manuel Neuer.
I feel bad not being able to put this man's work into words. The only analogy that comes to mind is a 12 foot brick wall. Neuer is unstoppable and has had maybe the best season of any goal keeper. He allowed an average of .53 goals per game throughout the Bundesliga. Point five three. Good lord. Plus, in the four games against Dortmund this season he has held them to three goals. After some more simple math, this equates to .75 goals per game which is far less than the 2.38 Dortmund usually average.

They have been here before.
I don't think I can say to much more about this one. They have been in two of the last three finals and have nothing but pain to show for it. They will fight even harder and will do anything to finally raise that cup. There is little doubt in my mind they will let this chance slip away for a third time.

Well folks, that's it. I feel bad not writing more about one of the best team's I've seen in a long time, but I can't even conjure up the words to describe them and to be honest, I won't even waste your time another post on a prediction. This one is already in the bag.
I would have to be completely insane to not pick Bayern Munich to win this. Just look at all the records they broke in Germany and the caliber of their players. They are by far the better team. They have be disrespected this entire season which makes me sick. They were beaten by a team last year that got their one in a million shot to beat them (and that's coming from a Chelsea fan) and ever since no one in the media takes them seriously. I have no doubt they will win the whole shebang this season and many more in the coming years. If they don't win it this time, I will literally eat one of my cleats and post a video for you all to see.
Dortmund will come out nervy and will concede early. They will get back into it with a goal in the second half, but Bayern will bring it in the closing minutes to score two more. That's right boys and girls, I see Bayern winning 3-1 with two goals from Muller. Though the score doesn't reflect it, I believe Bayern will dominate this match and really put Dortmund to shame before stealing all their talent this summer. So until next time, Mia san mia!

Thanks for reading!

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

5 Reasons Borussia Dortmund will win the Champions League

1. They have the in-form player.
Robert Lewandowski is one of the hottest players in the Champions League and world right now. Just look at his personal 4-0 thrashing of Real Madrid. The man knows how to score no matter where the defense pushes him. He leads Dortmund with 10 goals in 12 appearances in the Champions League and is a handful for even the most experienced back fours. In Bayern can't contain him, it could be a long night in Wembley.

2. They only have one loss in the Champions League this year.
Right up until their ultra-conservative, "don't-mess-this-thing-up" second leg against Real Madrid, Dortmund hadn't suffered a loss in the Champions League. This is quite amazing once you look at the fact they played Real Madrid three times, and came out of a group that featured Amsterdam Ajax and Manchester City. Though is wasn't always pretty, men in yellow always seemed to find a way through for some sort of result.

3. They have come through in the clutch.
Remember that stunning 3-2 victory over Malaga in the Quarter Finals? That's what I call playing in the clutch when your back is against the wall. The pressure they faced then will come in handy if they need a goal in the closing minutes of Saturday's match. Plus when all the lights got turned on them in their tie with Real Madrid, they came out strong with a ton of goals which could be very crucial in their match against their rivals.

4. The Klopp Show
Manager Jurgen Klopp has gotten four pieces of silverware in his five year reign at Dortmund. He knows how to get the best out of his players and is very sound tactically. I believe he his a better manager Jupp Heynckes at the moment and will have nearly kicked himself to death over his teams performances against Bayern this year. That being said, I'm sure he's done nothing but study what has gone wrong and right against Bayern this season and will come out with one heck of a match plan.

5. Ignorance is bliss?
This team hasn't had the feeling of losing a European Final which could calm their nerves before the match. Bayern, who lost in thrilling fashion against Chelsea last year and were unconvincing against Inter in 2010, could have a small seed of doubt in the back of their heads as they line up on the pitch. They could become a little timid not wanting to throw away another chance at European glory. This small seed of doubt could be all Dortmund need to take over the match and win the title.

By the looks of it, Dortmund should be able to win this, but wait, I haven't even talked about Bayern yet! Not so fast, come back tomorrow to hear all the reasons why Bayern Munich will be European Champions. Until then, Echte Liebe!

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

NHL Conference Semifinals

The NHL Playoffs, were the seeds are made up and home ice doesn't matter. This is how I've treated the NHL's second season for many years and this year continued to show why it is a good mantra to use when watching these games.
Five out of the eight lower seeds won in the last round, which means the Conference Finals could feature all six and seven seeds. Could is the key word in that phrase. 
Despite the lower seeds having their way with the league's "elites", the two best teams in the league navigated their way into the second round. Since the beginning of the season I thought both the Chicago Blackhawks and Pittsburgh Penguins would make it to the Stanley Cup, and so far that prediction is looking pretty good. Though the Penguins had an issue with the Isles, they showed some moments of brilliance  Now that Thomas Vokoun is in net, I expect the Penguins to get back on track. So who will be fighting for the conference crowns next round? Let's take a look. 

East 

Pittsburgh Penguins - 4 Senators - 2
I did a good job talking up the unpredictability of the NHL Playoffs, but the Penguins will take care of business. The Penguins haven't lost against this Ottawa team this season which is something the Senators will have on their mind. This series will get very interesting because it pits one of the highest scoring offenses in the league against one of the best defensive teams in the league. The Senators allowed an average of 2.1 goals per game in the regular season and have a penalty kill percentage of 88. To many other teams, these stats could spell trouble, for the Penguins, it presents a challenge. The Pens averaged 3.4 goals per game in the regular season and have a power play percentage of 24.7. Though defense wins championships most of the time, I think the Pens have too many offensive weapons and will pepper Craig Anderson to escape the series in 6 games. 

Boston Bruins - 3 New York Rangers - 4 
These two rivals haven't met in the playoffs since 1973 and when they meet this year, sparks will fly. This is going to be a great series between two teams that have been grinding out results in the playoffs. Both teams went seven games in the first round and I fully expect them to go the distance in this round. Both teams have stud goal keepers which will keep these games close all the way until the final whistle. Boston's Tuukka Rask allows an average of two goals per game, while New York's Henrik Lundqvist is allowing a fraction more with a 2.05 GAA. This series will be scrappy and close, but I think the Ranger's 5-0 blasting of the Capitals gives them huge emotional boost. Lundqvist looks like he's heating up with two straight shutouts, which is another good reason to go with the Blueshirts.  

West 

Chicago Blackhawks - 4 Detroit Red Wings - 3 
This is the series I am looking forward to the most. Playoff rivalries almost always exceed any meeting in the regular season. With regular season meetings between these two already at playoff levels, the excitement may just blow the roofs off both venues. The Red Wings have the momentum after winning a whole bunch of overtime games in their series against the Ducks and their game seven beat down. I find it really hard to pick against the Wings, but the Blackhawks have the rest and haven't lost to the Wings yet. Plus the Blackhawks are the best team in the league. They allow an average of 2 goals per game and score an average of 3.1. That is what I call dominance. They will struggle with the Wings, but ultimately they will be too much for the boys from Detroit. 

San Jose Sharks - 2 Los Angeles Kings - 4 
The battle for California will be yet another entertaining rivalry series. The Kings will be looking to continue their defense of their title and what better way to gear up for the conference finals than beating your rival? The Sharks may have the better set of overall statistics, but their inefficiency on the offensive end of the ice and playoff history both scare me. Many hockey fans know how bad the Sharks are when May comes around and it's hard to win a title when you are scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game. The Kings are heating up, and I believe Jonathan Quick will get back on his game and take over this series. 

Sunday, May 5, 2013

NBA Playoffs: Conference Semifinals

Due to some college finals preparation, I was not able to post anything about the opening round of the NBA playoffs. Do not fret though, I have been watching games and taking all the information I can so I can make some educated picks.
So far, it has been a very interesting year for the playoffs. Most of the favorites powered through their first round match ups while many of the closer seeded series proved to be very close. I have to say that the Warrior's dispatchment of the Denver Nuggets was the highlight of the first round. This team has surprised a lot of people and I would love to see them continue to advance as far as they can. Another big moment in the first round was the Knicks near collapse. I think this series showed some of the weaknesses this team has going forward. It will be interesting to see how they can cope with the Pacers.
So what surprises lurk for us in the next round? Let's take a look.

The San Antonio Spurs vs The Golden State Warriors- As much as I would like to see the Warriors continue to be successful  it will be very hard for them to move forward against the Spurs. Known as the Quiet Dynasty, the Spurs possess the defensive talents to take them to the promised land once again. Tony Parker will lead the Spurs on the offensive end and will be aided by the return of Bois Diaw. Steph Curry will continue to be explosive, but will only manage a couple of good games.  The one thing that will really hurt the Warriors is their inability to beat the Spurs. The last time they won in San Antonio was in 1997 and to be able to win playoff series, you have to win at home. I see the Spurs jumping out to a 2-0 lead and winning in 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder vs The Memphis Grizzlies- I think the Thunder could be in some trouble in this series. It seems like year after year, the Griz meander through the regular season, just to turn it up come playoff time. The Grizzlies' core of Randolph, Conley and Gasol will shine down low as the Thunder's fading Ibaka starts to crack. This will not be enough to beat this Thunder team though. Durant will put this team on his back, which should be good enough for a few wins. In the end, the Griz will make the Thunder nervous, but Durant will pull the series out for the Thunder in game seven.

The Miami Heat vs the Chicago Bulls- Let's be honest. Does anyone see the Heat losing this? Lebron is on another level right now and the Heat have all the supporting cast. The Bulls are without Rose which means they still don't have that feared attack they had last year. The Bulls might be able to snatch one game at home, but I see the Heat sweeping the series.

The New York Knicks vs The Indiana Pacers- I think the Knicks are going to have some major issues with the Pacers. This Indiana team place with such a togetherness and it's really hard to beat them at home. With Hibbert, Hill, West and George all averaging double figures in scoring, they are a really hard team to beat when they are on a role. Their issue is that they struggle on the road. The Knicks have a different issue. They are a very talented team, but I don't think they believe they can win it all. This shows as they were trying to close out the Celtics. It almost seemed as if they didn't believe they were good enough to close out the series. The other issue is they rely on Carmelo Anthony too much. If he can stop taking so many low percentage shots and find the open man, the Knicks could be deadly. I believe someone will rise for the Knicks and lead them past the Pacers. The home team will win every game in this series as it goes the distance with the Knicks coming out on top.

Thanks for reading!

Saturday, April 6, 2013

The Unlikely Final Four

If you are an average American, it is inevitable that your bracket is totally busted right now. If it looked like mine, you would be pulling for Louisville to win it all. I cannot say I saw Syracuse, Michigan, or Wichita State making it this far, but I can say I have liked it.
This year's tournament has been outstanding. I haven't seen parody like this in all my years of watching the dance. I have lived in an era were all four 1 seeds made it to the Final Four and where many Cinderellas don't make it past the Sweet 16. There have been a few years of craziness such as the Butler, George Mason and VCU years, but never anything like this. The fact that we have a nine and two four seeds really makes me happy. It shows that college basketball, unlike it's football counterpart, will and is not dominated by one conference or team. It also shows that anything can happen once you make it to the postseason.  i
So what now? We have to the the mystique of this situation fade away and get down to the dirty facts. Honestly, I feel this is Louisville's championship to lose. They are the most complete team and have been the most consistent all year. I find it hard to believe that they will lose tonight. The Wichita State Shockers will come out with a lot of energy and will use there big men like they did against Ohio State. The problem is that Big East teams are built for tournaments. Coaches know they have to make their teams deep and strong if they are going to make it through a rigorous Big East schedule and grueling tourney. That is what will show tonight when Louisville plays Wichita. It will be close in the opening half, but Silva and the rest of the  Louisville team will show their superiority late and win 68-60.
On the other side, I believe the Syracuse zone is playing as great as it ever has. Coach Boeheim has his team ready for any offense that comes the Orange's way. Michigan's Trey Burke will not make it easy though. He has been coming alive as of late and the rest of his team is really helping him out. I'm just not sure if the Wolverines are ready for what is going to happen tonight. It will be close and I see it coming down to a final shot by the Orange that allows them to move on the the Championship 49-48.
So on the year of the Big East's swan song, the conference will go out with two teams playing for it all. How fitting!

Monday, April 1, 2013

Champions League Quarter Finals: Leg One

It's April, which signifies the end of March Madness. In Europe, an elite eight still have plenty of madness to endure. The last round saw a hand full of incredible games, some epic match ups and even a few blowouts. Real Madrid's controversial win over Manchester United was only overshadowed by the beating Borussia Dortmund laid on Shakhtar Donetsk and the massive comeback by Barcelona.
Overall, the first round had a little bit of it all and I'm certain all the best teams won. Let's review who made it through:

Barcelona
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
Galatasaray
Juventus
Malaga
Paris Saint Germain
Real Madrid

Not too many shockers there, but on March 15th the quarter final draw was made. I felt that there was a good chance we could see all the best teams matched up against each other, but something else happened. Almost all the good teams were drawn with the weaker ones which sets up the possibility for some interesting match ups for the semi finals, but let's not get ahead of ourselves. Here's what the quarter final draw gave us:

Barcelona vs Paris Saint Germain

Bayern  Munich vs Juventus

Real Madrid vs Galatasaray

Borussia Dortmund vs Malaga

Right away, the Bayren - Juve tie stands out. It is the one match up featuring two teams that could really win the whole thing. This tie will be a tough one to watch. Both teams play with a style that isn't always the most visually appealing and can be very methodical. If there is tie that could end with a 0-0 draw and penalties, it would be this one. Both teams play great defense and have senior players that can handle pressure. I have to say Bayern have a better attack and are in better form. They just whipped Hamburg 9-2 this weekend and I think that attacking form will continue going into Tuesday. I think Munich will win the first leg 2-1 after a strong performance. Juve will be toothless for most of the match, but will snag a late away goal.
The next standout match is Barcelona - PSG. This is interesting because of the story lines with PSG striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic. He used to play for Barca, but had a fall out with the club and blamed midfielder Lionel Messi for it. Now the Swed will to Camp Nou to face his old team. Besides that, I think this will be a pretty boring tie. Barcelona may have had their issues earlier this year, but they are back now. I see a 2-0 for the Spanish side which will put this tie out of reach long before it really begins.
Real Madrid and Galatasaray is another interesting tie. Real Madrid faced the biggest test in the first round and even though they had some help, they were able to do it. This allows me to believe that they will be prepared for what Galatasaray can throw at them. Madrid will over take the Turkish side early in this tie because of their home field advantage. They will take an early 1-0 lead, but Galatasaray will use Champions League legend Didier Drogba to pull level shortly after halftime. By this time, Real Madrid will wake up find two late goals from Cristiano Ronoldo to take the easy 3-1 win going into Turkey.
The last tie of the quarter finals is Borussia Dortmund vs Malaga. These will be the most lopsided matches of the round. Dortmund is a favorite to win it all and I think they will show it early. They just have too much star power and I think Malaga is the weakest team left. It has been a good run for the Spanish side, but their Champions League dreams will die when they lose 2-0 at home to Dortmund.

Thanks for reading!

Thursday, March 21, 2013

March Madness 2013

     Ahhh! It's that time of year again. Spring is on it's way, the weather starts to let up a bit and the smell of freshly printed brackets looms in the air. Yep, it's definitely March Madness. Unfortunately, due to my work load right now, I couldn't give you some massive bracket picking blowout like I did last year, but I can supply you with my first round picks right now as well as some links to my 9 brackets I made on ESPN's website. Yes, I know I have a problem.  From my realistic thoughts, to my coin flip shenanigans you will be able to view both on the blog later today.
     Speaking of coin flips, I did one where I flipped every game of the tournament in hopes of proving this year would finally be the year where flipping a coin would be better than actually picking. If there is a year that a coin flip could win a bracket pool, it would be this year. There isn't one team I feel comfortable saying is the favorite, so madness will inevitably ensue. With that, I invite you to enjoy these first round picks and Happy March Madness!

Upset picks are bold and italicized 

Mid-West first round winners:

Louisville
Missouri
Oregon 
St. Louis
St. Mary's
Michigan State
Creighton
Duke

West first round winners:

Gonzaga
Wichita State
Ole Miss 
Kansas State
Belmont
New Mexico
Notre Dame
Ohio State

South first round winners:

Kansas
Villanova
VCU
Michigan
Minnesota 
Florida
San Diego State
Georgetown

East first round winners:

Indiana
NC State
California 
Syracuse
Butler
Marquette
Illinois
Miami